torsdag 31. oktober 2013

Cathrine Rieber


Assignment 3 – Birthrate and ideology                                  
Cathrine Rieber

In order to answer the assignment, I have collected data from the World Factbook.


Italy
Spain
Mexico
Brazil
Philippines
France
Roman Catholic (%)
80.0 %
94.0 %
82.7 %
73.6%
80.9%
85.5%
Birthrate  (%)
0.89 %
1.01 %
1.86 %
1.49%
2.46 %
1.26 %
Death rate (%)
0.10 %
0.89 %
0.49 %
0.65%
0.49 %
0.89 %
Infant Mortality Rate (%)
0.33 %
0.35 %
1.62 %
1.98%
1.89 %
0.33 %
Life expectancy rate
81.95
81.37
76.86
73.02
72.21
81.56
Avrg. yearly income ($)
29.812
30.058
15.363
11.747
4.380
35.295
Avrg. Educ. level (yr.)
16 yrs
17 yrs
14 yrs
14 yrs
11 yrs
16 yrs
Education in % of GDP
4.7 %
5.0 %
5.3 %
5.6 %
2.7 %
5.9 %


India
Algeria
Iceland
Roman Catholic (%)
0.0 %
>1.0 %
2.5 %
Birthrate  (%)
2.0 %
2.42 %
1.31 %
Death rate (%)
0.74 %
0.43 %
0.70 %
Infant Mortality Rate (%)
4.5 %
2.26 %
0.31 %
Life expectancy rate
67.48
76.18
81.11
Avrg. yearly income ($)
3.843
7.268
39.718
Avrg. Educ. level (yr.)
11 yrs
14 yrs
18 yrs
Education in % of GDP
3.3 %
3.6 %
7.8 %


If we look at the relationship between the percentage of Roman Catholic citizens and the corresponding birth rates in each country, we see that the birth rates vary a lot regardless of the religion in the countries. The Catholic countries even tend to have lower birth rates than the nations with a low percentage of Catholics, which interferes with the reasonable assumption that nations with large Catholic populations would have high birth rates due to the absence of birth control measures.

Let me emphasize this with an example: In Mexico, 82.7% of the population is Roman Catholic whilst India’s population has no percentage of Roman Catholics. Even so, the birthrates in the two nations are almost equal: Mexico has a birthrate of 18.61 births per 1000 population and India 20.24 births per 1000 population. This indicates that there is not a strong relation between these two variables and that there are other contributing factors that affect the birthrates than the absence of artificial birth control measures.

If we look at the average income in the different nations, there tends to be a pattern in the relation between birthrates and average income. The countries that have a lower average income tend to have a higher birthrate than the countries with a high income, and vice versa. Algeria for example, which has an average yearly income of $ 7.268, has a birthrate of 24.2 births per 1000 population, whilst Italy who has an average income of $ 29.812 has a birthrate of 8.9 births per 1000 population. As we see, there is a stronger correlation between birthrates and average income than with religion. Reasons for this might be the differences in cultures – in some countries it is looked upon as a privilege to have many children, whilst in other countries there is more focus on career etc.

Looking at the infant mortality rates compared to birthrates, I found that there is quite a strong correlation. Italy for instance, has a fairly low infant mortality rate (0.33%) and a birth rate of 8.9 births per 1000 population. India on the other hand, has a much higher infant mortality rate at 4.5% and also a higher birthrate at 20 births per 1000 population. This indicates that a higher infant mortality rate leads to a higher birth rate. The reason for this might be that the possibility of loosing a child results in more births in order to be secure that you will have some children that grow up.

To summarize, the amount of Roman Catholic in a country seems to have a weak correlation with the birth rates within a country. Even though there is a technologically conservative prohibition against artificial birth control among practitioners of Catholicism, this prohibition does not really seem to exist in behavior. Other factors such as average yearly income, infant mortality, average education level and life expectancy rate seems to have a stronger relation and effect on birthrates.





Annette Trondsen


Assignment 3 birth rate and ideology
Annette Trondsen

Italy:
Percentage of Catholic citizens 90% roman catholic
Birth rates: 8,94 births
Infant mortality rates: 3,33 deaths
Average lifespan: 81.95 years
Average income: 29,812$ per year
Average education level: 4,7% of GDB
  
Spain:
Percentage of Catholic citizens: 94% Roman Catholics
Birth rates: 10,14 births
Infant mortality rates: 3,35 deaths
Average lifespan: 81,37 years
Average income: 30,058 $ per year
Average education level: 5% of GDP

Mexico:
Percentage of Roman Catholic 82,7%
Birth rates: 18,61 births
Infant mortality rates: 16,26 deaths
Average lifespan: 76,86 years
Average income: 15,363 $ per year
Average education level: 5,3% of GDP

Philippines:
Percentage of Catholic citizens 82,9%
Birth rates: 24,62 births (2013)
Infant mortality rates: 18.19 deaths
Average lifespan: 72,21 years
Average income: 4,380 $ per year
Average education level: 2,7% of GDP

Colombia:
Percentage of Roman Catholic citizens 90%
Birth rates: 16.98 births
Infant mortality rates: 15,46 deaths
Average lifespan: 75.02 years
Average income: 10,671$ per year
Average education level: 4,5% of GDP

Poland:
Percentage of Roman Catholic citizens 89.8%
Birth rates: 9,88 births
Infant mortality rates: 6,3 deaths
Average lifespan: 76,45 years
Average income: 20,562 $ per year
Average education level: 5,1% of GDP

Azerbaijan
Percentage of Catholic citizens less than 1,8%
Birth rates: 17,17 births
Infant mortality rates: 27,69 deaths
Average lifespan: 71.61 years
Average income: 10,365$ per year
Average education level: 2,8% of GDP

Afghanistan:
Percentage of Catholic citizens other 1%
Birth rates: 39,05 births
Infant mortality rates: 119,41 deaths
Average lifespan: 50,11 years
Average income: 1,055 $ per year
Average education level: NA

Algeria:
Percentage of Catholic citizens 0%
Birth rates: 24,25 births
Infant mortality rates: 22,57 deaths
Average lifespan: 76,18 years
Average income: 7,268 $ per year
Average education level: 4,3% of GDP


I looked at Italy, Spain, Mexico, Philippines, Columbia, Poland, Azerbaijan, Afghanistan, and Algeria. Statics used for this analysis were Percentage of Catholic citizens, birth rates, infant mortality rates, average lifespan, average income and average education level.

The analysis indicates that the catholic prohibition don’t have a significant influence on birth rates. The Catholic populations have lower birth rate than the populations with no prohibition on birth control. There are other factors however which appear to play a greater role in birth rate. The Catholic population has in general higher education than the population with no prohibition. This might affect birth rates due to focus on career comes before having children. Populations, which normally take higher education, have less time for children. Their job could be their goal.

 In general the Infant mortality rates are much higher in the non-prohibition populations, which means they need to have more children to be certain some of them will be able to grow up and take care of their parents when they get old. Therefore this is a significant factor when it comes to birthrates.

The catholic population tends to earn more per year than the non-Catholic countries. In poor countries it is important to have a lot of children to help with housework. Example if you are a farmer the children becomes a helpful labor. If you don’t have money for retirement home you need your family to watch over you when you get old. Normally there might occur more deaths in poor homes. Therefor it is important to have many children due to not all of them might be able to grow up.

The age are in general very high, therefor it is important for poor countries to have a lot of children that are able to take care of you when you get old. If you have a stable economy its not necessary with children that can take care of you due to you can afford to pay for an retirement home.

Conclusion
In general I think the most significant factors are income, education, average lifespan, poverty and infant mortality rates. I don’t think the conservative prohibition against birth control among the catholic population is that significant when it comes to birthrates.




Sources: